Knowing-Avalanche
0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$228.83
Total PnL
$-3.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.95
$35.95
- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
60 shares @ 90.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.83
$-1.27
- NO
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
31 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$31.02
$3.62
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 83.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.66
$1.96
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.05
$-35.95
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.84
$0.63
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.15
$0.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-0.78
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-5.10
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.15
$-0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$95.00May 9, 18:38 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00May 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$34.65May 9, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.00May 9, 15:52 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.00May 9, 15:26 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$1.02May 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$1.02May 9, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".