Flimsy-Lute
0x5849c946be5a6895a83d004edccaa8c3191ca99e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.61
Total PnL
$-243.07
Realised
$97.91
Win rate
96%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.11
$-1.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
450 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.47
$-0.68
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
380 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.47
$-0.10
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$-1.24
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
389 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.75
$0.87
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
499 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.45
- YES
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.30
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 18?
1929 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 in May?$0.02May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.20May 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$0.06May 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$0.14May 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.25May 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.05May 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 18?$0.73May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?$1.20May 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in May?$0.08May 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.45May 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.60May 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 18?$1.59May 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 18?$1.40May 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.19May 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.61May 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?$1.00May 18, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".