Friendly-Marble
0x58a29cf206179a4b497183fe1cbc740eeadba1ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$28.98
Total PnL
$-440.16
Realised
$13.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 68.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$4.43
- YES
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?
121 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.89
$-0.58
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.10
$-3.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.60
$0.10
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.10
$-1.50
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
294 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
213 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.41
- YES
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
144 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-71.73
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
120 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$61.63May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$25.80May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$2.06Apr 29, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$5.18Apr 24, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$6.93Apr 23, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$0.77Apr 23, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.07Apr 23, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.17Apr 22, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.40Apr 22, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.05Apr 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.90Apr 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.47Apr 22, 20:33 UTC
- REWARD$3.10Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Apr 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.50Mar 17, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.89Mar 17, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.66Mar 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.60Mar 13, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.50Mar 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$38.99Mar 13, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".