Incredible-Deduction
0x58b89ca1dabfc29988e7f601edc4ee992435e4d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$138.54
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
864 shares @ 33.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.50
$-244.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
157 shares @ 63.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.27
$-75.73
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
326 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.80
$-6.20
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
313 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$22.50
$2.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
317 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.46
$-2.54
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.77
$-12.22
- YES
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
35 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-22.45
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
4756 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
2051 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
1276 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-140.39
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.78May 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.25May 7, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$76.24May 4, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$140.34May 3, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$34.35May 3, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?$78.82May 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$100.00Apr 26, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$20.00Apr 26, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.00Apr 26, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$300.00Apr 26, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?$150.00Apr 26, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 26, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$20.00Apr 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 26, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$110.49Apr 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$20.00Apr 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$30.00Apr 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$10.00Apr 25, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $47.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".