Anchored-Conspiracy
0x58b8dff637445a20a42289682080457091d1d375
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$10.03
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMOnce Upon a Farm in 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $4.00–4.25 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.0KDec 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.00Dec 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$495.00Dec 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$500.00Dec 11, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $200.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".