Circular-Reform
0x58c85b9a2f357cb32d92cbb6443d552148060300
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-763.48
Realised
$211.00
Win rate
55%
148 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
109 shares @ 68.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$107.42
$32.68
- NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
100 shares @ 70.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$86.50
$16.30
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
90 shares @ 73.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.59
$16.10
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
80 shares @ 71.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$64.40
$7.20
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.33
$10.82
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
75 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.25
$3.75
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
60 shares @ 26.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.70
$29.10
- NO
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
50 shares @ 63.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.50
$11.83
- NO
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
39 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.32
$5.16
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
52 shares @ 88.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.74
$-7.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.66May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpace FDV above $40M one day after launch?$3.19May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$6.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$7.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$12.84May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS civil war before 2027?$18.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$25.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMOctra FDV above $100M one day after launch?$25.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$29.41May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMOctra FDV above $300M one day after launch?$29.46May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$32.00May 11, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 148 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".