Large-Marathon
0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$31.1K
Total PnL
$-88.5K
Realised
$-393.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
154907 shares @ 52.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.0K
$-56.6K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$-51.00
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
346 shares @ 28.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$95.11
$-4.89
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
111975 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.8K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
9774 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-586.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$130.00May 14, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.56May 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$14.30May 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$11.18May 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.05May 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.75May 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$277.36May 14, 12:26 UTC
- REWARD$19.30May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$545.68May 10, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 10, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$0.00May 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$2.2KMay 10, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.25May 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.95May 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.3KMay 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.41May 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$12.78May 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.1KMay 9, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $408.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".