0x5934c97e7790d8bf11dcce881eca8033d80a48fc
0x5934c97e7790d8bf11dcce881eca8033d80a48fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$223.34
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-108.00
Win rate
15%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
99 shares @ 16.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.77
$40.31
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
68 shares @ 16.7¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$40.13
$28.79
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.30
$6.30
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
73 shares @ 50.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.93
$-10.59
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.69
$10.69
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$9.60
$-20.40
- YES
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
60 shares @ 12.5¢·now 15.9¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$9.54
$2.04
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
85 shares @ 16.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.08
$-9.04
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
125 shares @ 16.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.27
$-16.65
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
123 shares @ 16.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$-16.93
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in NYC on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in New York City be 85°F or below on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 19?$0.16May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 19?$1.20May 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 19?$0.19May 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$4.99May 18, 01:53 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Chicago on May 18?$60.00May 18, 01:52 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?$60.00May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$0.41May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 19?$1.74May 18, 01:50 UTC
- CONVERSIONMay 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)$60.00May 18, 01:46 UTC
- SPLITWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$60.00May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 19?$0.81May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 19?$1.70May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 19?$5.37May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 19?$0.39May 18, 00:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.08May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 19?$3.49May 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?$3.46May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".