Ornery-Settlement
0x594958769a483a45092426f3a5bd1258cedc5fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$282.22
Total PnL
$-153.29
Realised
$-12.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.00
$-3.00
- BURNLEY FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
216 shares @ 46.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$109.12
$9.12
- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
148 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.57
$0.74
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.95
$-0.45
- YES
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
269 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.08
$-0.92
- OVER
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- TEAM LIQUID
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
50 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
40 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$8.00May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5$51.75May 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.43May 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)$101.61May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5$10.19May 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5$10.15May 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$8.29May 15, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner$44.74May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.33May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$21.20May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.75May 15, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.34May 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.24May 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$45.30May 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.76May 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGetafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5$5.09May 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVillarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5$5.08May 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.10May 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.76May 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner$157.00May 12, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $33.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".