Beloved-Legume
0x59fb4758b6a4282e744664bdf4aaeed0b70becea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-5.91
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
674 shares @ 49.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$666.73
$334.06
- NO
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
658 shares @ 51.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.45
$316.55
- NO
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1511 shares @ 34.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$506.14
$-16.61
- NO
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 34.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$39.24
$-4.45
- NO
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$19.05
$1.22
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
2300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1750 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-72.37
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get 65% or more of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1571 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-17.67
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?
1200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
900 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-47.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?$78.00May 16, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMMotherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score$50.00May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMotherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score$30.00May 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?$40.00May 13, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?$375.49May 7, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.49Apr 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?$2.10Apr 23, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?$25.20Apr 23, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$0.49Apr 15, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie or Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NYC rally?$200.00Apr 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$9.29Apr 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$0.97Apr 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Climate" during NYC rally?$1.41Apr 11, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$3.25Apr 11, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$1.86Apr 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$9.29Apr 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$3.25Apr 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$6.50Apr 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$1.86Apr 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?$18.57Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".