Optimistic-Caddy
0x5a0dec90d3e5b08f5323223bc512df3024233078
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$263.46
Total PnL
$-1.17
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
53 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$51.91
$0.08
- NO
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
53 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$50.64
$0.13
- NO
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.47
$-0.39
- NO
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
51 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$50.46
$-0.08
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.78
$-0.94
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
9 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.70
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.49
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$41.51May 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$50.80May 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.04May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?$2.48May 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.68May 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$48.83May 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$50.19May 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$50.34May 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?$50.54May 8, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?$49.73May 7, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?$51.00May 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$29.73May 7, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$16.85May 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.96May 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$50.95May 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?$50.44May 7, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$23.62May 7, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.54May 2, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.86Apr 29, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$50.28Apr 29, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $36.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".