0x5a80d0be5731941fd2e3cf369d00b3b8250ea983
0x5a80d0be5731941fd2e3cf369d00b3b8250ea983
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$251.79
Total PnL
$-534.04
Realised
$189.16
Win rate
45%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
465 shares @ 15.1¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$111.29
$41.24
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
30 shares @ 76.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.36
$5.46
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.39
$-5.61
- YES
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
1447 shares @ 14.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$18.09
$-186.04
- NO
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
13 shares @ 84.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$12.89
$1.85
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.41
$0.17
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 95.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.85
$-0.24
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
54 shares @ 22.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-5.43
- YES
Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
318 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.88
$-4.97
- YES
Will Carolina Buhler advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
442 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.52
$-4.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$52.00May 15, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?$52.00May 15, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$52.00May 15, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$52.00May 15, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?$52.00May 15, 16:42 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?$26.00May 15, 16:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$50.07May 14, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".