Upset-Precipitation
0x5b19165f3ac3993fb1a9ed3e5b74cd3375989197
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$443.28
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$138.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
1507 shares @ 78.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$369.14
$-805.49
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
988 shares @ 68.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$74.14
$-602.40
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
15000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-899.97
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
4050 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.87
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
298 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-195.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?$529.07Apr 19, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?$444.04Mar 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?$430.72Mar 22, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?$214.44Mar 22, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?$166.43Mar 22, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$106.87Mar 19, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?$5.69Mar 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$390.70Mar 5, 19:24 UTC
- REWARD$3.42Mar 5, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$211.19Mar 4, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$270.73Mar 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$518.35Mar 4, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?$2.1KMar 4, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?$4.26Mar 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?$0.35Mar 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?$2.0KMar 3, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$479.47Feb 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$85.40Feb 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$589.02Feb 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$487.00Feb 28, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $438.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".