Fresh-Bargain
0x5b3b2e6d998616b4f891780500467828a7730353
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$219.62
Total PnL
$94.09
Realised
$633.58
Win rate
76%
106 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.03
$-0.12
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
80 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$28.02
$1.75
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.26
$0.56
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.50
$0.20
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$10.87
$-0.68
- YES
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
20 shares @ 36.8¢·now 49.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.94
$2.58
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
50 shares @ 12.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.17
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.99
$0.34
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.91
$0.01
- NO
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.86
$0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.00May 15, 07:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?$5.00May 11, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$7.22May 9, 16:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 27?$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 28?$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina$0.00May 7, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 106 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".