Ill-Fated-Insolence
0x5b46a4f17b4e3312b1a4d631ffcd5e886ab21263
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$967.19
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$29.00
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1614 shares @ 36.7¢·now 38.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$618.07
$25.80
- YES
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2002 shares @ 19.9¢·now 17.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$349.12
$-48.88
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
356483 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-356.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
94729 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-94.73
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
63405 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-63.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$94.26May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$102.47May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$102.47May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$102.49May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$102.60May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$102.67May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.28May 18, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00May 17, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.08May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$92.95May 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$15.81May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$57.12May 16, 06:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Delilah" be said on ICEMAN?$20.39May 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$81.88May 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.68May 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.04May 15, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".