Ragged-Descendant
0x5b48e1eaaa11b376c04015019b6628e4edb0fdca
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$55.14
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
96 shares @ 55.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.17
$-46.29
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 41.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.17
$-12.83
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
94 shares @ 26.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.10
$-18.90
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.22
$-25.78
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
1147 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-266.14
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
894 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
799 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
681 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
563 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$25.00Apr 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$30.00Apr 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 22, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 8, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$111.11Mar 8, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$0.00Mar 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$53.46Dec 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$40.00Dec 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$40.00Dec 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?$40.00Dec 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by March 31?$40.00Dec 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$60.00Dec 28, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$124.48Dec 28, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?$0.00Dec 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$68.70Dec 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$20.00Dec 10, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?$100.28Dec 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$34.28Dec 9, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $45.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".