Close-Stepgrandfather
0x5b721da0811d071808f129537b7052b819b8bedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.3K
Total PnL
$801.63
Realised
$497.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282132 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$420.09
- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
11634 shares @ 14.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$3.3K
$1.6K
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
16578 shares @ 7.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.7K
$420.49
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
2010 shares @ 23.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$542.57
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
22180 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$731.94
$227.39
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
66437 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$498.28
$-33.22
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36948 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$461.86
$-104.19
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3279 shares @ 12.1¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$450.89
$54.86
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
819 shares @ 0.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.22
$94.22
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1074 shares @ 3.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.29
$56.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.83May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$140.17May 17, 12:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$177.56May 15, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$250.00May 15, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$994.53May 15, 14:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.14May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$20.72May 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$26.29May 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.16May 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.67May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.33May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.07May 14, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.33May 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.33May 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.65May 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.41May 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.28May 14, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $79.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".