0x5be196a22870bfa800debda48de9ecaa64aa7ec1
0x5be196a22870bfa800debda48de9ecaa64aa7ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$127.74
Total PnL
$-35.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.14
$2.14
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.78
$3.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
11 shares @ 34.0¢·now 70.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.68
$3.97
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$7.58
$0.58
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.28
$2.12
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.16
$1.17
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.88
$0.06
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.88
$0.06
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.34
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.72
$0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$4.18May 18, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$9.89May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?$1.90May 16, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.91May 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$3.49May 15, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $98 Week of May 11 2026?$8.11May 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1.66May 15, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.37May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$7.10May 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$6.93May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$6.93May 13, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$8.00May 13, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$9.72May 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of May 11 2026?$3.03May 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.71May 13, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?$10.15May 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$5.41May 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?$6.79May 12, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $98 Week of May 11 2026?$5.98May 12, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$6.09May 11, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".