Uncomfortable-Tenet
0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.7M
Total PnL
$-620.6K
Realised
$-287.7K
Win rate
50%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1215345 shares @ 79.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1M
$153.1K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
444303 shares @ 82.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$388.8K
$20.5K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
70050 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.1K
$1.6K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
44445 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.3K
$911.11
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
24000 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.4K
$578.52
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
24173 shares @ 84.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.7K
$304.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24193 shares @ 44.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.8K
$6.0K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
9861 shares @ 79.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.0K
$-838.15
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11143 shares @ 74.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.8K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
106619 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.2K
$-107.69
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.92May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$126.50May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$210.96May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$126.50May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$58.26May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$126.46May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.82May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$26.32May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$126.45May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$126.46May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$8.27May 14, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.4KMay 13, 16:18 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.65May 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$126.46May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$126.05May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$11.2KMay 11, 07:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.76May 11, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$125.24May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$10.0KMay 10, 17:26 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$62.80May 10, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $11.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".