Creative-Tie
0x5bffeb3a5fa46f29689efeabad0502f16d0863e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$29.7K
Total PnL
$2.1K
Realised
$6.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
30820 shares @ 86.1¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.8K
$2.2K
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$531.82
$431.82
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
25329 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$316.62
$-553.34
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
186 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$77.21
$-2.79
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
154 shares @ 39.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$26.92
$-33.08
- YES
Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
321 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.48
$-2.52
- YES
Will Lazio win Coppa Italia?
122 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.14May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$220.00May 17, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$3.14May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$106.14May 16, 13:29 UTC
- YIELD$3.14May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.13May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.13May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.13May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.13May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.14May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.14May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.14May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.13May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.12May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$81.37May 6, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$3.12May 6, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 6, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$3.12May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.12May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.95May 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $40.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".