Lazy-Judgment
0x5c4ce2053442cc7b19d300ffd39b7f38cd138131
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.5K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$88.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7550 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.4K
$167.89
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$155.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1200 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$32.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1038 shares @ 81.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.0K
$161.24
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
800 shares @ 61.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.92
$64.20
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$437.50
$32.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.50
$17.50
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
300 shares @ 80.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.47
$2.47
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$137.25
$18.75
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.75
$6.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$854.87May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$140.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$499.00May 13, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$300.00May 12, 15:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$300.00May 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$620.90May 9, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$150.00May 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.02May 9, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.98May 9, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.53May 9, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$169.47May 9, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $339.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".