Candid-Sermon
0x5c669023be8d949cc489b8e397ad81cd606a31e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$502.48
Realised
$93.52
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 82.2¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-17.00
- NO
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?
484 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$449.90
$24.34
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
400 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$382.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
300 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$300.00
$108.00
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
350 shares @ 76.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
220 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$211.86
$9.46
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$166.49
$-5.50
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
160 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$159.99
$14.00
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
174 shares @ 87.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$151.37
$-0.87
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
165 shares @ 86.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$148.54
$5.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$1.00May 17, 13:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$4.55May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?$13.57May 15, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$1.00May 15, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$1.00May 15, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$10.00May 15, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$2.70May 15, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?$10.55May 14, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?$14.99May 13, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$4.55May 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$4.55May 13, 20:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$18.20May 11, 11:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $17.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".