Stiff-Timber
0x5c951ccf8c56760728c5552c3e68125d1ff97652
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$9.09
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$523.53
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.92
$7.24
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.10
$-23.30
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 8.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
80737 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
45346 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.35
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.87
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
7500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?
3911 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-122.18
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
1535 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-146.18
- NO
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?
867 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-148.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$50.00May 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$2.58May 1, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?$5.88Apr 29, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?$20.00Apr 27, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$100.00Apr 27, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$545.20Apr 27, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?$2.38Apr 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?$4.80Apr 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?$6.60Apr 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$11.00Apr 22, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?$0.79Apr 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?$0.79Apr 20, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?$1.33Apr 19, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during TPUSA events on April 17?$9.68Apr 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" during TPUSA events on April 17?$6.68Apr 17, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Regulation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$5.00Apr 17, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$20.00Apr 17, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$1.45Apr 16, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drug" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$20.00Apr 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$11.82Apr 16, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".