Naughty-Polarization
0x5cb40ffcc143b0836b39c6a8f920de7409804576
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$134.80
Total PnL
$-44.5K
Realised
$257.88
Win rate
68%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
228 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$96.88
$-1.14
- NO
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
211 shares @ 60.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$37.92
$-88.92
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?
2527 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-903.16
- PABLO CARRENO BUSTA
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
1880 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-593.28
- NO
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
1824 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-940.46
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?
1633 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-437.70
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
1544 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-614.45
- UNDER
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
1504 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-334.58
- NO
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
1500 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-334.51
- NO
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?
1439 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-604.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$3.50May 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$11.21May 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$27.57May 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$2.33May 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$3.38May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC leading at halftime?$3.93May 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC end in a draw?$1.84May 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5$0.01May 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5$6.88May 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC end in a draw?$5.23May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?$3.81May 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18?$6.99May 18, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5$5.60May 18, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$15.08May 18, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-17?$8.07May 18, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?$6.88May 18, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$32.29May 18, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill EC Vitória win on 2026-05-17?$55.30May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$8.19May 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$15.62May 18, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".