Realistic-Trout
0x5d0af28f08207f1f28d382b3c8bf8f62f7411936
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$68.22
Total PnL
$-23.16
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
28 shares @ 49.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$19.03
$4.98
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$12.50
$-1.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 38.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.75
$-6.75
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$5.18
$1.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.70
$-7.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.85
$-4.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.70
$-4.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 65.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.40
$-2.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.04May 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?$0.02May 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?$0.30May 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$0.86May 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.04May 9, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.37May 9, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$0.04May 9, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?$0.00May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$1.04May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.10May 9, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$6.04May 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$13.60May 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?$0.05May 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?$0.03May 3, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".