Grubby-Mantel
0x5d189e816b4149be00977c1a3c8840374aec4972
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$308.9K
Total PnL
$-285.6K
Realised
$103.5K
Win rate
92%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2360344 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.7K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1202445 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.4K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2250632 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.9K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2220640 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.7K
$1.1K
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2113657 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.9K
$-52.84
- YES
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2073066 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.5K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1515296 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.4K
$757.65
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2192742 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1827212 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.7K
$-913.61
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2027368 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.2K
$1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.49May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.16May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.06May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.36May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.55May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.39May 18, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".