Self-Assured-Tenor
0x5d83c3963c790b9760e6ac0e55878320cafa0bb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-33.1K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
3005 shares @ 56.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
410 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$344.05
$53.25
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
212 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$211.54
$21.15
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.99
$75.00
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.86
$1.01
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
14668 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.0K
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
9878 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
7184 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?
4061 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
3290 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$2.92Apr 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$45.52Apr 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$16.77Apr 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$14.02Apr 3, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$4.31Apr 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$6.19Apr 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$294.51Apr 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$313.55Apr 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$976.93Apr 1, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$3.1KApr 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$6.69Mar 7, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$355.44Mar 6, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$494.43Mar 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$902.01Mar 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$569.13Mar 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$1.7KMar 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$3.8KMar 5, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$490.46Mar 3, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$2.6KMar 3, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $999.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".