Mammoth-Alluvium
0x5d9d2b1187033549a05f9d365a0233cfcfb2e603
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.36
Total PnL
$-465.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$12.36
$2.36
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
6310 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No token launch by March 31
1185 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
1019 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Panagioti Bartzis be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
598 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 12?$0.00Mar 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token on March 31?$8.00Mar 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo token launch by March 31$40.00Mar 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$10.00Mar 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?$10.00Mar 13, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 12?$10.00Mar 13, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 12?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?$0.16Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panagioti Bartzis be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CaSándra Claiborne be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill R. Cary Capparelli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$10.00Mar 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $23.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".