Gaseous-Bout
0x5dafe2fc4d140d4a5741240ce178d2459b1263f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$23.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$-5.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6858 shares @ 87.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$317.35
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5200 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.1K
$198.85
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
3335 shares @ 89.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$252.68
- NO
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
2576 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$90.63
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2250 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$28.26
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$55.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
880 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$867.24
$5.26
- NO
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
580 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$563.92
$32.61
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1120 shares @ 21.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$420.00
$176.80
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
270 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.41
$8.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$93.00May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$192.00May 18, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.69May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.69May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.68May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$96.00May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$93.00May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.20May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$98.20May 15, 11:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.68May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$384.00May 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$394.80May 14, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.68May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$192.00May 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$197.20May 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$930.00May 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$7.34May 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$930.00May 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$36.69May 13, 04:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.68May 13, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $281.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".