Muddy-Construction
0x5eb183e23d2139eefcaa9b0a7b3daddef0c8e27b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$244.01
Total PnL
$-16.11
Realised
$0.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
51 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$50.06
$-0.03
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
52 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.92
$-0.73
- NO
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
51 shares @ 97.1¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.25
$-1.28
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
46 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$45.38
$0.12
- YES
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
54 shares @ 94.0¢·now 66.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.77
$-14.98
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
9 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.90
$0.14
- NO
Will Trump deport 700-800k people?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.74
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.97May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$11.67May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$29.40May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$29.40May 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$49.52May 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$11.74May 15, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$8.01May 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$47.23May 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 700-800k people?$5.77May 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.08May 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.00May 11, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$34.38May 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$40.34May 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?$50.65May 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$45.43May 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$50.23May 8, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$51.22May 6, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$31.44May 6, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.72May 4, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $27.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".