Drafty-Doctrine
0x5edac84d3078a6de72d8c67aa6495d3ff095d453
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-138.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
467 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$432.76
$2.04
- NO
Will Dominic Solanke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
400 shares @ 84.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$316.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
400 shares @ 57.8¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$232.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
262 shares @ 71.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$184.55
$-3.16
- YES
Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
156 shares @ 73.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$99.96
$-14.06
- YES
Will Tino Livramento be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$56.99
$-12.01
- YES
Will Eberechi Eze be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$49.50
$-29.50
- NO
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
56 shares @ 67.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$39.11
$1.27
- YES
Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
72 shares @ 61.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$25.83
$-18.28
- YES
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
47 shares @ 64.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$23.65
$-6.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$233.93May 18, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$523.00May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$15.91May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$37.00May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$468.03May 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$8.57May 16, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$7.92May 16, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$21.76May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$36.91May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frank Lampard be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?$116.43May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$34.30May 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$132.17May 16, 05:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominic Solanke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$170.76May 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$62.78May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$3.33May 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$9.44May 15, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$9.44May 15, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $81.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".