Elderly-Journalist
0x5efdd9528636775287a3ae8a59b2823142c7e08e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$18.90
Total PnL
$-761.91
Realised
$57.84
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
610 shares @ 8.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.90
$-31.10
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
1516 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
1239 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
1119 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
1054 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
772 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
588 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-47.01
- NO
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
480 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
375 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$106.44Mar 27, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$60.00Mar 24, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$8.82Mar 24, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$59.40Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$120.00Mar 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$86.22Mar 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$39.13Mar 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$47.09Mar 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$38.76Mar 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$50.00Mar 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$50.00Mar 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$50.00Mar 5, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$50.00Mar 5, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$50.00Mar 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$147.42Mar 5, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$141.33Mar 5, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$42.24Mar 4, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$42.24Mar 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$47.11Mar 4, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 4, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $107.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".