Scientific-Sophomore
0x5f211a24da4c005d9438a1ea269673b85ed0b376
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$197.75
Win rate
71%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
691 shares @ 89.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$656.59
$38.26
- NO
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
494 shares @ 91.3¢·now 94.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$466.52
$15.08
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
297 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.28
$9.06
- NO
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
244 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$223.03
$-1.16
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
3294 shares @ 38.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.12
$-1.0K
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
490 shares @ 77.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$210.86
$-166.48
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
193 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.28
$-0.73
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
171 shares @ 46.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$143.51
$64.64
- NO
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
141 shares @ 94.7¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.23
$-4.04
- YES
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
717 shares @ 7.6¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.25
$29.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.57May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$4.96May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.64May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.47May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.79May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$19.43May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$5.46May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$46.47May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on May 19?$3.43May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 19?$1.77May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 19?$10.80May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 19?$3.68May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 19?$0.57May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 19?$16.00May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on May 19?$1.99May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.49May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.12May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 19?$1.00May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 19?$0.28May 18, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".