Close-Timber
0x5f4fc359460dbe427ae7d4f81b4a34b3678cc2f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$196.32
Total PnL
$32.30
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
44 shares @ 47.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$36.10
$15.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
39 shares @ 57.9¢·now 85.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$33.11
$10.59
- NO
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
47 shares @ 32.8¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$21.78
$6.42
- NO
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
18 shares @ 71.2¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$15.08
$2.60
- YES
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
44 shares @ 33.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$14.25
$-0.39
- NO
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$13.10
$4.71
- NO
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
29 shares @ 42.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$12.74
$0.61
- YES
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
36 shares @ 36.8¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$11.04
$-2.06
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13 shares @ 72.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.17
$-0.53
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
45 shares @ 10.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$8.34
$3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.10May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.84May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.51May 18, 01:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.67May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$549.14May 17, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$3.6KMay 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.26May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.15May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.33May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.08May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.69May 17, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$41.06May 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$11.14May 17, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$6.52May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$4.27May 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$13.14May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$8.93May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$12.64May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.48May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$2.40May 17, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".