Grim-Artificer
0x5f8839f9b16c66d0c75f69d150e69a876e391d4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
88%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
750 shares @ 91.1¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$676.95
$-6.15
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
759 shares @ 55.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$429.00
$6.43
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
399 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$381.61
$-1.40
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
418 shares @ 84.3¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$360.68
$7.76
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
1300 shares @ 20.8¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$314.56
$43.67
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
1136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$272.66
$22.63
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
450 shares @ 59.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$263.26
$-4.26
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
286 shares @ 93.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$260.50
$-7.18
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
250 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$248.38
$2.32
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
200 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$194.50
$1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$85.90May 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.80May 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$28.16May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.25May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.10May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$48.05May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$49.32May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$64.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$90.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$48.50May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$48.30May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$48.55May 18, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.93May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$49.45May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$50.18May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$40.82May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$6.14May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$55.60May 17, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $49.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".