Several-Elm
0x5f8a08ecadc3b056ec36b1f3de65e55bf4104bc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$778.49
Total PnL
$-54.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
103 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.28
$11.28
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?
94 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.85
$9.85
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
89 shares @ 75.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$84.96
$17.71
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
81 shares @ 85.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.08
$7.08
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
82 shares @ 67.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.78
$9.75
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
57 shares @ 86.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.87
$4.36
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
52 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$52.11
$2.11
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
50 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.58
$0.23
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.73
$1.73
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.00
$-8.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$51.23May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$16.93May 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$46.52May 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$18.89May 14, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$30.00May 12, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$31.00May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$50.00May 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$50.00May 7, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$37.50May 5, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$10.00May 1, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$9.68May 1, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$15.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$18.29May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$20.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$20.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$25.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$25.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$25.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$25.00May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$27.27May 1, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $30.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".