Dead-Valance
0x5f9d8c4816c3470e02d1902fddd277996723dd7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$213.07
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-16.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
683 shares @ 15.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.91
$2.75
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
950 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$42.75
$-14.25
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
2949 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.91
$6.85
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
359 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.50
$-19.74
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
200729 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.4K
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17123 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?
3330 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-115.81
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
2425 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-48.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
1495 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-37.36
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
1440 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04May 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.08May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.10May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.10May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.18May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.12May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.18May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.36May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.30May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$7.45May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$6.27May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.46May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.23May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$3.06May 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.16May 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.39May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.11May 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$2.74May 14, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".