Treasured-Connotation
0x5fe6fc35d09027ed47a8a761bb1c652d4af371ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$17.16
Total PnL
$-13.09
Realised
$7.27
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.95
$0.75
- YES
Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
197 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.52
- YES
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
10 shares @ 3.2¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$0.36
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.07
- YES
Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.79May 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$9.26May 8, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$9.12May 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.08Apr 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.05Apr 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.02Apr 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Apr 23, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.03Apr 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.22Apr 16, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.03Apr 16, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.02Apr 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$2.44Apr 13, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.07Apr 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.04Apr 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Premier League club reach 90 points?$1.00Apr 11, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.52Apr 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.50Apr 3, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.71Apr 2, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".