Elementary-Beard
0x603063895e0a5bbeadeb0be01ab9a75a4c2c5e0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$277.12
Total PnL
$-15.7K
Realised
$-26.24
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?
583 shares @ 90.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.12
$-247.45
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
8500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-337.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $122k November 3-9?
8203 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-48.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9AM ET
6250 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-939.82
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
5585 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5AM ET
5000 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-842.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7AM ET
5000 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-764.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120k November 3-9?
4185 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?
4000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-158.00
- NO
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?
3250 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?$10.75Feb 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$222.22Jan 31, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$37.14Jan 31, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$380.00Jan 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.59Jan 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$53.40Jan 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$2.46Jan 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$14.49Jan 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$4.93Jan 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$8.10Jan 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$24.63Jan 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$132.00Jan 30, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$12.60Jan 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$5.05Jan 30, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$411.83Jan 30, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$5.00Jan 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$56.11Jan 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$6.98Jan 29, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".