Outlying-Ethyl
0x60347733300e9817f8f7ed736e1435af2c12b5fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$820.77
Total PnL
$-907.87
Realised
$-2.08
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
984 shares @ 50.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$492.39
$-3.54
- NO
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
368 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$320.16
$-3.68
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
232 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.77
$-29.35
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-1.44
- OVER
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
974 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-488.95
- NO
Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-03-06?
599 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-293.51
- YES
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
70 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?
69 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-40.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Democrat" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
65 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?
65 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$323.84Apr 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$495.94Apr 23, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.90Apr 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$227.95Apr 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$196.68Apr 12, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$147.18Apr 12, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$51.80Apr 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$195.65Apr 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$233.31Apr 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$307.39Apr 10, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$129.08Apr 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$333.27Apr 9, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$78.40Apr 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$53.20Apr 7, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$391.46Apr 7, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$471.68Apr 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?$355.50Mar 31, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$281.40Mar 30, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$208.95Mar 30, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$69.96Mar 30, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $237.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".