Pastel-Method
0x606d65fca4f80b75926c106d0ac8d3ce90bf1aaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$125.1K
Total PnL
$8.0K
Realised
$-392.48
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
52003 shares @ 28.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.4K
$15.7K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26734 shares @ 51.9¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.3K
$412.77
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
17487 shares @ 91.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.7K
$-4.3K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
13571 shares @ 80.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.5K
$545.51
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51152 shares @ 15.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.3K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50551 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.4K
$616.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
9037 shares @ 84.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.1K
$468.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49736 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.6K
$45.11
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55246 shares @ 7.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.6K
$557.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
4705 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.4K
$56.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.67May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$94.38May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$88.23May 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$129.40May 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$102.58May 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$419.48May 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$30.97May 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$45.56May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$715.54May 17, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00May 17, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 17, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$41.10May 17, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$657.89May 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$6.11May 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$2.9KMay 17, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00May 17, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$101.01May 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$100.07May 17, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl$47.21May 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$302.34May 17, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $328.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".