Sparkling-Skating
0x606ed7945996ae85a8002b05f83319c518b96b3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$13.4K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
3574 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$706.07
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
1509 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$-6.35
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1178 shares @ 86.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$96.03
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
1084 shares @ 86.1¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$112.76
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1300 shares @ 63.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$968.49
$141.50
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1000 shares @ 86.2¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$944.00
$81.60
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1004 shares @ 85.9¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$863.49
$0.78
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
1210 shares @ 65.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$635.11
$-153.62
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
672 shares @ 65.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$581.18
$139.31
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
602 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$572.96
$0.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$69.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$172.00May 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $4.01May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $10.21May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$58.80May 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $4.83May 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 17, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$19.14May 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$23.34May 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$135.00May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$209.00May 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$10.01May 16, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?$11.12May 16, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$7.80May 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$90.00May 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$108.00May 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$75.00May 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$126.00May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$7.18May 15, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $126.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".