Major-Effective
0x6098e46365b30f0641de80c5978838178ecc8d9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$29.19
Total PnL
$-5.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
9 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11 shares @ 64.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.70
$0.41
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
12 shares @ 31.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$0.22
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 25.5¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.41
$-0.17
- YES
Over $3.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
13 shares @ 22.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.43
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
15 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- MAGIC
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$1.34May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$4.00May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.34May 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.02May 17, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$8.01May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$2.47May 16, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$2.47May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$6.01May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.26May 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$2.01May 16, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$2.76May 16, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$2.94May 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner$1.02May 16, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$1.27May 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.24May 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$2.30May 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.01May 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$1.01May 16, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner$4.16May 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$2.19May 15, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".