Complete-Novel
0x60fd421fb445029d7c8ce20a6a86e0bb364589a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$332.49
Total PnL
$-120.23
Realised
$44.91
Win rate
62%
156 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
400 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.00
$-1.00
- YES
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
370 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.67
$-1.56
- YES
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
200 shares @ 7.3¢·now 8.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$16.30
$1.70
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.90
$0.90
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.68
$-11.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.80May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.39May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.31May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.00May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.02May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.02May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.03May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.10May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$0.03May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.01May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.36May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.27May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.20May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$1.50May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.25May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.31May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.84May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.15May 18, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 156 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".