0x61306816e15043b2ace6a3e1db031e248ffaf1ed
0x61306816e15043b2ace6a3e1db031e248ffaf1ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$108.96
Total PnL
$-34.46
Realised
$-11.13
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.38
$0.64
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
19 shares @ 7.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.23
$17.73
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
27 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.64
$1.09
- NO
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 83.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.74
$0.94
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.61
$-0.29
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
9 shares @ 50.7¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.26
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.57May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.24May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.06May 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.01May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.01May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.01May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.17May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$0.01May 15, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".