Icy-Conviction
0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$140.6K
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
64%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
16761 shares @ 90.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.3K
$114.29
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
15000 shares @ 74.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.8K
$563.45
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
15000 shares @ 58.9¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.6K
$770.32
- YES
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
7091 shares @ 88.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.9K
$636.69
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6639 shares @ 88.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.8K
$-49.15
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6000 shares @ 75.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10000 shares @ 60.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.0K
$-1.1K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
5000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$375.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$725.01
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
13252 shares @ 49.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.0K
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$60.01May 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.22May 18, 03:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.45May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$124.03May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$578.27May 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$95.28May 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.70May 17, 11:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.57May 16, 12:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.85May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.23May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$249.56May 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$225.06May 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$93.33May 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$298.88May 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$9.12May 15, 19:42 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.40May 15, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $132.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".