Near-Familiar
0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$433.9K
Total PnL
$-259.4K
Realised
$-5.3K
Win rate
62%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
130000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$82.9K
$17.9K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
130000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.1K
$-17.9K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
575000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.5K
$-13.1K
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
32544 shares @ 70.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.8K
$8.9K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
40070 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.8K
$2.6K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
17969 shares @ 92.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.3K
$760.76
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
17398 shares @ 45.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.0K
$5.0K
- NO
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
11853 shares @ 81.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.6K
$2.0K
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
11021 shares @ 72.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.5K
$2.5K
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12009 shares @ 89.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.5K
$-194.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7.83May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.02May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.00May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.50May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.05May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.10May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$120.00May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.4KMay 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.00May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.82May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.90May 18, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $84.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".