0x614fc8dd6dabc2ebc3c3a96d6268a7be83ee7ad8
0x614fc8dd6dabc2ebc3c3a96d6268a7be83ee7ad8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$98.68
Total PnL
$-8.52
Realised
$22.49
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$30.30
$20.30
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
30 shares @ 39.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.29
$18.24
- YES
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$26.08
$11.21
- YES
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.70
$0.15
- YES
Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
20 shares @ 23.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.24
$-2.60
- YES
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
33 shares @ 31.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.62
$-8.85
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1 shares @ 32.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$0.19
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
17 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.15
$-3.05
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.05
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$41.54Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers$5.10Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$14.72Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.76Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$0.43Apr 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-26?$5.00Apr 24, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$0.47Apr 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$0.48Apr 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$5.15Apr 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$6.43Apr 24, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$3.57Apr 24, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$7.95Apr 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.10Apr 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$4.80Apr 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?$0.75Apr 24, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April?$14.08Apr 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$7.41Apr 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$1.33Apr 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?$5.70Apr 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$1.27Apr 24, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".