Chilly-Twist
0x6151b1e64ba147239f4b3f630434f82ab44dae00
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$181.32
Total PnL
$-193.54
Realised
$6.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1149 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.98
$-4.02
- YES
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
233 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$80.49
$-8.19
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
113 shares @ 30.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.45
$-31.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
311 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.40
$-11.76
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
243 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
154 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
139 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 10?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$36.21May 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$11.39May 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$23.72May 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$23.72May 6, 18:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$14.07May 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$13.57May 4, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $25.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".