0x6153ae02e37e89ddd5f383809bd1377cfd8ab29f
0x6153ae02e37e89ddd5f383809bd1377cfd8ab29f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$224.29
Total PnL
$-330.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2057 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$169.66
$-1.03
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1761 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$25.54
$-67.91
- YES
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
302 shares @ 28.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.40
$-70.33
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
890 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.35
$-0.44
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
67 shares @ 28.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.34
$-14.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
2407 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.94
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1962 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3?
453 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
408 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 8?
152 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126.32May 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.06May 17, 11:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.08May 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$7.57May 6, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$11.96May 5, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$97.87May 5, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$7.77May 5, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?$9.80May 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 5?$9.81May 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4?$9.79May 3, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 3?$29.36May 2, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?$66.83May 2, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $20.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".